The Good News & The Bad News

by Brian de Lore
Published 26 April 2019

April has been a defining month for the thoroughbred industry, and participants with their eye on the ball will be fully aware it of its polarisation of emotions with a combination of good news and bad news.

The good news came a couple of weeks ago when Cabinet gave its tick of approval to three detail-laden papers on racing which resulted from the comprehensive 123-page Interim Report that MAC (Ministerial Advisory Committee) presented to Minister Peters on 28th of February 2019.

It’s the best news racing’s had in many years because it did two things in respect of the relationship this ailing industry has with its Minister Winston Peters. It firstly justified in every way the faith that racing placed in Peters at the last election at which the veteran politician only just scraped home with the help of the racing vote.

Secondly, it vindicated Peters in everything he has been telling racing since commencing his second term as Minister 18 months ago. And that was, he would fix racing, but fix it his way, and fix it permanently with legislation set in stone that would serve the industry for the long haul.

The thumbs-up from Cabinet which came on April 17th should have had the stakeholders dancing in the streets for it substantiated everything that Peters had promised well over a year ago. For many, it had been a not so patient wait which was vindicated by the incredible amount of detail and planning it encapsulated.

It had seemed like an eternity waiting for this progress, but the information released made it worthwhile. If you don’t believe it’s the best news for many-a-year, then it’s likely you haven’t read it. If the Messara Report had provided the foundation-stone for this new structure, then these Cabinet papers have brought to light an impressive framework. Now we await the cladding and the roof.

But with the good news has come the bad news. The Informant ceased publication at the beginning of April and is currently the subject of a restructuring or renegotiation for a return to the newsstands. When or if it happens is unknown to this writer, but a further meeting is believed to be on the agenda for Monday the 29th of April.

More bad news surfaced in the form of TAB turnover figures for 2019 for betting on horses and greyhound meetings in New Zealand. It is stressed these figures do not include Australian horse racing, gaming or sports betting.

For the first 15 weeks of the year, betting was down $17,091,124. That equates to more than $4 million in less profit for the same period in 2018 – for little more than one-quarter of the season. April was also the month the NZRB half-yearly report analysis could be made, and that shows that debt has increased from $10 million at the end of last season to $25 million by the end of January.  The NZRB’s revolving credit facility has a limit of $25 million, so it’s, reached.

The report also says that cash on hand was at $8 million at January’s end, but $4 million owed to Gaming. The monthly distributions the NZRB makes to the codes to fund stakes is $14 million. Does that mean you need to take 60 or 90 days to pay the bills instead of the usual 30? Will RITA inherit a liquidity crisis on July 1st? – highly likely.

The racing industry is in a precarious financial state!

But back to the good news. The Cabinet papers which total 45 pages in all are worth a read and available at this URL:  www.dia.govt.nz/racing-review  How the papers are structured is contained in the opening of Cabinet paper 1, shown below:

“Review of Racing: Paper 1 – Overview of the New Zealand Racing Industry and identified issues

Proposal

1. This Cabinet paper is one of a suite of three that will collectively provide the Government’s first legislative response to the recommendations of the Review of the New Zealand Racing Industry (the Messara Report). This paper recommends that the Cabinet agree to support the overall intent of the Messara Report, and agree the broad proposed content of the two amendment Bills to be introduced in 2019 – the Racing Amendment Bill No 1 (Bill No. 1) and Racing Amendment Bill No 2 (Bill No. 2).

2. The two accompanying papers provide detailed information on the proposed content of Bill No. 1: 2.1

Paper 2 – Policy decisions on transitional governance to drive change. This paper proposes new racing industry governance arrangements for the transition period leading up to the formation of the new industry structure. 2.2

Paper 3 – Proposals for immediately increasing revenue for the racing industry. This paper addresses the racing industry’s immediate need for supplementary revenue to ensure it is financially sustainable into the future.”

The upshot of these three papers is they are 90 percent true to the Messara Report in accordance with MAC’s Interim Report. Reference to the Messara Report is extensive, and deviation is rare.

If you haven’t read the entire 123 pages of the MAC Interim Report, then take the time to read the Executive Summary which is the first five pages at the beginning. To find it also go to the URL shown above.

In meetings with MAC Chair Dean McKenzie since his appointment, he has always stressed the integrity of the Messara Report and the importance of revenue.

In summary, it says, “The Messara Report sets the challenge for the industry,” and in the next paragraph it goes on to say, “the recommendations will deliver more revenue to increase prizemoney levels; better governance across all industry organisations; a renewed focus on integrity and animal welfare; a more efficient network of racing venues that cater for national, regional and community racing; and investment in our ageing facilities and investment in our thoroughbred tracks (both turf and synthetic), to provide top-class racing, training and trialling surfaces year-round.”

This week McKenzie told the optimist: “In the Executive Summary we focus on the revenue aspect – we are prioritising the revenue side of it which is at the front of it; we are trying to create positive momentum by generating as much revenue as we can, as early as we can.

“And we have to make sure it’s manageable because with the two-bill set-up – we couldn’t put everything into one bill – because we just wouldn’t have had time to get this process moving.”

One of racing’s biggest potential revenue earners is outsourcing the TAB. In the Executive Summary, it says, ‘…outsourcing is not a foregone conclusion.’ I asked McKenzie to elaborate:

“You have to make sure you know the whole picture before you can decide, said McKenzie. “Arguably, the formation of the TAB in 1951 is the single most important thing that’s ever happened in NZ racing. If you say that’s true, then the future of the TAB is one of the most important issues, and the process to undertake the decision-making has to be robust and watertight. I don’t think anyone would dispute that.

“No one around our committee table is saying we should, or we shouldn’t be outsourcing – we have focused on getting the process right. So, whatever the outcome is at the end of that process it will be the best one for the industry. We have some work going on at the moment with our industry group, but a lot of that work will fall into that RITA timeline by the July 1st.

“If we get the process right, the industry will know we have come to the correct conclusion. It must be based on the most robust process to gain the best result – it’s very crucial for the future of the industry.”

So much to write about but not enough space in this first, genuine posting on the theoptimist.co.nz. To understand how the structure works between now and when RITA take control of the industry, go to the URL above and MAC’s Interim Report Recommendations which on page 25 you will find ‘The Work Plan for the Committee.’ A comprehensive schedule of events is listed.

To conclude, it is appropriate to salute Racing Minister Winston Peters promise to the industry relative to the future of racing which has now been rubber-stamped by Cabinet. In my article entitled, ‘Minister says he’s not leaving port without plotting the correct course,’ published on February 8th, 2018, one week after the Messara’s ‘start with a blank sheet of paper,’ article, he said the following:

“I had put a lot of work into trying to understand why this industry is stalled, and it became more and more apparent, as I went around and talked to people, that we have a major structural problem here which requires full and genuine reform.

“And that is to do with the Racing Act that has been around for a very long time and which is clear to me, doesn’t fit the bill for where we should now be heading.

“By that, I mean with a truly sustainable plan and not a short term fix – we can’t rush in with something that would only be temporary and dangerous for the industry long term – the three industries or codes we are talking about have to be changed to benefit racing overall.

“If the press and your fellow commentators want a short term fix then they have the wrong Minister. I want to make sure the fix is sustainable and will get us to the end with the right environment for owners, punters and all others associated with the industry and their codes – long term sustainability which turns around prizemoney.

“If it turns around the quality of people coming into the industry and gives them the confidence to be in it and ensures that the number of impediments like track standards are seriously considered in the critical areas of investment, then it will be worth it.”

“I’ve gone back and questioned the Act’s integrity and asked the question – ‘are the codes capable of looking after themselves as three separate units, or can we soldier on with the serious material differences between them’? And in the end, I thought the only thing these codes are interested in is themselves and the ability to be masters of their own destiny inside a better framework.

“In short, we are going back to first principles here – the Act can wait until we get it right and that might not be too far away, but I need to talk to the three codes individually.

“We want a structural framework to survive this government and go on to long-term success rather than have a big start, a boost and then a stall and all sorts of people grappling with impediments.

“Since I got this job it’s been my priority to find out what’s going on in within the three codes, and what I’m staring in the face that’s seriously wrong – the two components of cost and the income – both seriously unsatisfactory.

“It’s premature to give detail now, but we’ve been working on a time-frame and the path we’re taking. I want to ensure all three codes can see the wisdom of that, and that they all understand that’s it’s the health of all three that concerns me, and I want to ensure we maximise in every sense the income that’s capable of being generated which is demonstratively not happening at present.”

The Minister’s comments above cannot be viewed as anything but visionary!

Redoute’s Choice leaves behind a huge legacy

by Brian de Lore
Published 28th March 2019

Arrowfield Stud principal John Messara AM has been in the racing and breeding business long enough to remain philosophical about the highs and lows, the good fortune versus the ill-fortune, and agrees that no matter how well-planned and cleaver you are, in the horse business you still need that ‘bird on the shoulder.’

When you own enough horses, all the emotional excitements and disappointments can occur within only short interludes of separation. It happened over the past week when Messara’s super-colt The Autumn Sun scored a narrow victory in the Gr. 1 Rosehill Guineas in entirely unsuitable underfoot conditions, and less than three days later Arrowfield’s super-sire Redoute’s Choice was dead.

The irony is that The Autumn Sun, by Redoute’s Choice,  was purchased by Messara to succeed his legendary dad at Arrowfield in a yet to be specified season – most industry pundits now saying it’s a given he will be retired without racing again and prepared for his first book of mares in 2019.

Messara isn’t saying that won’t happen but what he is saying is that the decision is pending and that he will let the dust settle on Rosehill’s sticky surface from Saturday before consulting fellow part-owner Hermitage and trainer Chris Waller.

Losing Redoute’s Choice on Tuesday morning wasn’t Arrowfield’s only strike of misfortune. Saturday two weeks ago on the morning of the day The Autumn Sun brilliantly won the Gr.1 Randwick Guineas, an early morning electrical storm created havoc amongst a paddock of Arrowfield mares that resulted in the loss of the Flying Spur mare Alverta.

“We are all feeling very down today, Messara told The Informant on Tuesday, “but all good things eventually come to an end. Losing this bloke today and two weeks ago losing Alverta – they were probably the most significant male and female on the property, and Alverta was in-foal to Dundeel.”

Alverta was special to Arrowfield as the stud bred her and she was Paul Messara’s first stakes winner as a trainer, winning the Gr.1 Coolmore at Rosehill in one of her eight victories before being campaigned in England by the younger Messara where she ran third to Starspangledbanner in the Gr.1 Darley July Cup at Newmarket.

“What can you do?” Messara lamented.  “We didn’t want Redoute’s to suffer; that was the main thing. We found him in the paddock covered in mud; he was a very proud horse which indicated he had got down and then struggled to get up.

“He was in great stress and was very lame in his off hind which ironically had always been one of his good legs. He had seemingly strained something trying to get up off the ground. He didn’t have a lot of flexibility in those arthritic front legs.

“We gave him analgesics which relieved the pain, and then he had a good night and drank all his water and ate all his feed overnight, and the next day which was Monday, he couldn’t do anything more than walk slowly in fairy steps. His front knees had blown up about twice normal size because he had to put pressure on them while he got off his hind legs, and from that point, the situation was becoming impossible.

“He’d get off one leg to get onto the other, and then he’d get off that one to get back onto the first, and in the end, there was nowhere for him to go in terms of mobility – it was hopeless.

“We took the decision Monday night; the vet recommended euthanasia. We were worried that he would fall and break a leg, he would be in a lot of pain, and that would be too traumatic for the horse and everybody. We couldn’t allow that to happen; we had no options.”

Although the loss of such a great horse will always be traumatic under any circumstances, Arrowfield can console themselves in the knowledge that the three times Australia’s Champion Sire got to the age of 22 despite the arthritic knee condition he had suffered from for some years.

The son of Danehill took out his first of three sires’ titles in 2005/06 which in that season included Champion Filly Miss Finland and was at the height of his commercial prowess the following season, commanding a service fee of A$330,000 when covering 224 mares.

Testimony to Redoute Choice’s popularity at yearling sale time is the stat which shows no fewer than 79 of his progeny have been $1 million plus yearlings, highlighted by the Australian record yearling price of A$5 million paid for a colt out the Desert Sun mare Helsinge at the 2013 Sydney Easter Sale.

Restricted to a more manageable book of 74 mares in 2017 before lowering to 45 in 2018, Redoute’s Choice has been a consistent, pre-potent force in the sire ranks since his debut stud season in 2000 at a fee of A$30,000, siring around 1,050 winners which collectively have won prizemoney in excess of A157 million and still counting.

Even this season, his results have been exceptional, and he’s still in the top five in the Sires’ Premiership. He is also likely to collect his first Australian Broodmare Sires’ title with progeny earnings to date amounting to $15.2 million from 15 stakes winners.

As well as Golden Slipper winner Miss Finland, other notables by Redoute’s Choice include Lankan Rupee, Stratum, Dariana, God’s Own, Allez Wonder, Nadeem, Lotteria, Melito, Fashions Afield, Master of Design amongst many others, plus resident Arrowfield sires Snitzel, Not A Single Doubt, and Scissor Kick.

The strength of the Danehill blood through Redoute’s Choice remains supremely dominant with 10 of his sons at stud led by current Champion Sire Snitzel having sired Group One winners.   

Internationally Redoute’s Choice is credited with 54 Group One wins and a total of 329 group and listed events. At home in Australia, he has sired 34 individual Group One winners and 160 stakes winners. His second crop son Snitzel who won the Gr.1 Oakleigh Plate will this season emulate his dad when he takes out his third Champion Sire title.

Foaled in 1996 from the Canny Lad mare Shantha’s Choice, Redoute’s Choice was bred and raced by Muzaffar Yaseen. In his 10-start career from the Rick Hore-Lacey stable in Melbourne, he won five races including four at Group One level – the Blue Diamond Stakes at two years, the Manikato Stakes first-up at three, the Caulfield Guineas and the C.F. Orr Stakes.

As impressive as his race record reads, The Autumn Sun’s record is even superior as Messara points out: “He’s the only colt to win five group one races from his first nine starts since the keeping of groups and listed race records

“We are tipping out The Autumn Sun for six weeks,” he continued, “and during that time we are going to make up our minds whether to race him on or retire him. Redoute’s passing now tips the scale a little bit but to be fair he’s owned 50/50, and I want to hear what my partner has got to say.

“On Saturday Chris Waller said the track was an eight and was all right and will probably improve to a seven, and I thought on that basis we should start. But instead of being an eight it was probably a nine or a 10. If I’d known, we wouldn’t have run him; we could have waited for something else like the Doncaster.

“But we took our chances; our jockey Kerrin McEvoy got off after race one and said ‘this is a bog out here.’ He said, ‘ít’s not an eight, it’s a 10.’ I was nervous after that waiting for our race; I knew it would be a struggle. He was also jumping up to 2000 metres, but in the ground it was really 2100 metres – it was too much.

“He ran the same time as the winner of the Ranvet at weight-age-age. We were very lucky to get away with it.

“We won’t be going to the UK this year, but there’s still a chance for next year if he comes back next year as big as the trainer says. He says he could be the best racehorse in the world next year and will take Winx’s position next season if we give him a chance.

“I haven’t made a decision. Half of me says he should go to stud now with Redoute’s gone; the other half says how many times are you ever likely to get one like that. It’s extremely hard to make that decision.

“He pulled up alright after the race. Chris says ‘he’s well.’ He’s bright, and he’s tough, but there was nothing more to prove in this preparation, so we sent him out, and Chris agreed.

“A decision on his future will only be made after discussions with the other part-owner. That’s a matter of fairness.”